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Matrixport投资研究:BTC热度已达8%,BTC正经历走向大众的关键节点

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Over the past decade, BTC has achieved unprecedented growth, with its market value surging from $10 billion in 2014 to $1.2 trillion today. This extraordinary growth also reflects the expansion of the entire crypto asset ecosystem, with the number of BTC users worldwide rising from just 5 million in 2016 to more than 560 million today, of which 61% are male, 39% are female, and 72% are under the age of 34. In addition to the huge wealth created, there is another number worth noting: BTC’s penetration rate has reached 8%.

Technologies that rely on network effects, such as social media and payment platforms, usually need to reach a certain scale of users to fully realize their value. As long as the penetration rate reaches about 8%, the value of the technology to new users will increase exponentially. At this stage, the technology has usually demonstrated its feasibility and reliability, making it more attractive to risk-averse consumers.

Furthermore, as penetration grows, economies of scale drive down costs, making the technology more accessible, which in turn drives even greater growth. This phase is often referred to as “crossing the chasm,” marking the transition of a technology from niche to mainstream.

In every market cycle, the increase in popularity drives the development of BTC, and this time is no exception. Although BTC has returned to the 2021 all-time high of $68,300 and is hovering at this price, once this price is broken, there will be a sharp rise.

BTC’s early adopters have already been handsomely rewarded, and with major TradFi players like BlackRock popularizing BTC to millions of investors, 2025 could be the year for Bitcoin’s adoption.

BTC and the entire crypto asset market are reaching a critical juncture, with BTC penetration possibly exceeding 8% in 2025. For many technologies in history, this node is an important turning point in their life cycle, a transition from niche to mass. Whether it is personal computers, smartphones, social media or electric vehicles, driven by network effects, increased feasibility and reduced costs, adoption will generally accelerate after penetration exceeds 8%.

上述部分观点来自Matrix on Target。 联系我们 获取Matrix on Target的完整报告。

免责声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成投资建议。数字资产交易可能具有极大的风险和不稳定性。投资决策应在仔细考虑个人情况并咨询金融专业人士后做出。Matrixport 对基于本内容提供的信息做出的任何投资决策不承担任何责任。

This article is sourced from the internet: Matrixport Investment Research: BTC popularity has reached 8%, and BTC is experiencing a critical node towards the masses

相关:流行的 Polymarket 是一个好的预测工具吗?

原文作者:Felipe Montealegre 原文翻译:Luffy, Foresight News 有一次,我和一个朋友讨论罗伯特·肯尼迪支持特朗普,一位参与者自信地宣称,特朗普获胜的几率增加了 2%,因为 Polymarket 预测如此。这是一个很好的观察,因为事件发生得很快,而且没有太多其他新闻来推动市场。如果 Polymarket 是一个有效市场,那么这种说法似乎是站得住脚的。问题是,Polymarket 仍然是一个低效的新兴市场,无法预测事件概率的微小变化(有效市场的工作方式是,大量投资者根据事件进行交易。如果您认为罗伯特·肯尼迪的支持将使特朗普的胜算增加 10%,您将使用杠杆购买……

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