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SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

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SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

The day after the FOMC decided to cut interest rates, the Bank of Japan announced that it would mAIntain its interest rate policy unchanged. BTC continued to climb above 63,000, with a daily increase of 2.33%, but failed to break through the key resistance of 64,000. On the other hand, ETHs performance made it the protagonist of today. After being complained about its weak growth many times, a wave of pull-ups at noon caused the currency prน้ำแข็ง to break through the $2,500 mark and finally closed at 2,561 (+ 5.05%), showing strong upward momentum when ETF Flow did not improve. Next, we may need to further observe the increase in exchange reserves to prevent selling pressure caused by supply and demand imbalances.

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

Source: TradingView, BTCUSDT vs. ETHUSDT intraday trend comparison

From the perspective of implied volatility, most of the uncertainty at the front end has dissipated since the policy shoe landed, but the high actual volatility brought by the continuous upward trend still supports the front end curve. Although the next two days are weekends, it still cannot dispel traders concerns about potential hedging costs. However, it is also observed that after todays settlement, a large number of sellers have flocked to the market to lower the premium of the past two days, causing BTC ATM IV to fall rapidly from 50.46%/44.81% (21 Sep/22 Sep) at the settlement time. Now the biggest uncertainty has come to the US presidential election. After the callback in the previous two days, the far-end IV has rebounded sharply along with the entire curve. BTC has returned to the level of a week ago, while ETH has encountered a larger increase.

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

Source: Deribit (as of 20 SEP 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

ที่มา: SignalPlus

From the perspective of volatility slope, the positive effect of the interest rate cut policy has caused Vol Skew to flatten significantly. ETHs eye-catching performance today has raised the slope level to the highest point in the past month. The local buy Call and sell Put transactions at the end of September were particularly obvious. Perhaps it can attract some high-point profit-taking or selling operations before the weekend is approaching.

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

ที่มา: SignalPlus

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

Source: SignalPlus, ETH 27 SEP transaction distribution

From the curvature point of view, BTC and ETH both reached a trough on 29 NOV, which was in sharp contrast to the peak of the following month, leaving a cross-period Vol Premium premium on Wing.

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

ที่มา: SignalPlus

SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

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This article is sourced from the internet: SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240920): ETH stands up

Related: Planet Daily | The US government transferred 29,800 BTC yesterday; Elon Musk: Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies ar

Headlines The US government marked the transfer of about 29,800 BTC, worth about $2.02 billion According to Arkham monitoring, the US government marked address transferred about 29,800 BTC related to Silk Road 7 minutes ago, with a value of approximately US$2.02 billion. BTC fell below 66,000 USDT, down 4.37% in 24 hours OKX market data shows that BTC fell below 66,000 USDT and is currently trading at 65,906.9 USDT, with a 24-hour drop of 4.37%. Elon Musk: I do think Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies are valuable Elon Musk participated in the X Takeover podcast hosted by Tesla owner Silicon Valley account on the X platform. When asked about his views on Bitcoin, Musk said that he does think Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies are valuable, and also admitted that…

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