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Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

تحليلمنذ شهرينجديد 6086 سنًا...
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Bitcoin falls as Fed remبالنيابةns on hold

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

Since inflation has fallen less quickly than expected, the Federal Reserve has kept its interest rate target range between 5.25% and 5.5% since the end of July last year, the highest level in 23 years. After the interest rate meeting, Bitcoin fell to as low as $62,300 and then rebounded.

As the third quarter draws to a close, most market participants expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. If the fight against inflation continues to make good progress, a rate cut could be announced as early as this years September meeting. This could be a positive factor for risk assets such as Bitcoin.

Historically, a lower interest rate environment is good for cryptocurrencies as investors tend to seek higher-yielding assets. Despite the uncertain economic outlook, the prospect of looser monetary policy has boosted positive sentiment toward Bitcoin. However, investors need to be mindful of the risk of prجليد volatility in the short term.

There are about 47 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (September 19, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

التحليل الفني لبيئة السوق والمشاعر

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

مكونات تحليل المشاعر

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

المؤشرات الفنية

اتجاه السعر

BTC price rose -0.68% and ETH price rose 0.88% over the past week.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الصورة أعلاه هي الرسم البياني لسعر BTC في الأسبوع الماضي.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الصورة أعلاه هي الرسم البياني لسعر ETH في الأسبوع الماضي.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

ويبين الجدول معدل تغير الأسعار خلال الأسبوع الماضي.

pctChange1Day3Day5Day7Daybtc_pctChange1.12% -2.14% -3.74% -0.68% eth_pctChange-0.91% -3.44% -1.4% 0.88%

مخطط توزيع حجم السعر (الدعم والمقاومة)

In the past week, BTC and ETH broke down from the concentrated trading area and then rebounded.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

توضح الصورة أعلاه توزيع مناطق التداول الكثيفة لـ BTC في الأسبوع الماضي.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

توضح الصورة أعلاه توزيع مناطق التداول الكثيفة لـ ETH في الأسبوع الماضي.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

يوضح الجدول نطاق التداول الأسبوعي المكثف لـ BTC و ETH في الأسبوع الماضي.

الحجم والفائدة المفتوحة

In the past week, the trading volumes of both BTC and ETH increased after the August 1 interest rate meeting; the open interest of both BTC and ETH increased slightly.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

يظهر الجزء العلوي من الصورة أعلاه اتجاه سعر BTC، ويظهر الوسط حجم التداول، ويظهر الجزء السفلي الفائدة المفتوحة، والأزرق الفاتح هو متوسط يوم واحد، والبرتقالي هو متوسط 7 أيام. يمثل لون خط K الحالة الحالية، والأخضر يعني أن ارتفاع السعر مدعوم من حجم التداول، والأحمر يعني إغلاق المراكز، والأصفر يعني تراكم المراكز ببطء، والأسود يعني حالة الازدحام.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

يُظهر الجزء العلوي من الصورة أعلاه اتجاه سعر ETH، والوسط هو حجم التداول، والأسفل هو الفائدة المفتوحة، والأزرق الفاتح هو متوسط يوم واحد، والبرتقالي هو متوسط 7 أيام. يمثل لون الخط K الحالة الحالية، والأخضر يعني أن ارتفاع الأسعار مدعوم بحجم التداول، والأحمر يعني إغلاق المراكز، والأصفر يتراكم المراكز ببطء، والأسود مزدحم.

التقلبات التاريخية مقابل التقلبات الضمنية

Historical volatility for BTC and ETH was highest this past week at 8.1; implied volatility for both BTC and ETH fell.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الخط الأصفر هو التقلب التاريخي، والخط الأزرق هو التقلب الضمني، والنقطة الحمراء هي متوسطه على مدى 7 أيام.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الحدث مدفوعة

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged this past week, and after the interest rate meeting, Bitcoin fell to a low of 62,300.

Emotional indicators

معنويات الزخم

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, gold was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الصورة أعلاه توضح اتجاه الأصول المختلفة في الأسبوع الماضي.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

معدل الإقراض _ معنويات الإقراض

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 8.3%, and short-term interest rates rose to 12%.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الخط الأصفر هو أعلى سعر لسعر الفائدة بالدولار الأمريكي، والخط الأزرق هو 75% من أعلى سعر، والخط الأحمر هو متوسط 7 أيام من 75% من أعلى سعر.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

يوضح الجدول متوسط عوائد أسعار الفائدة بالدولار الأمريكي في أيام الاحتفاظ المختلفة في الماضي

معدل التمويل_معنويات الرافعة المالية للعقد

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 7.9%, and contract leverage sentiment is gradually recovering.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

الخط الأزرق هو معدل تمويل BTC على Binance، والخط الأحمر هو متوسطه على مدار 7 أيام

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

يوضح الجدول متوسط عائد رسوم BTC لأيام الاحتفاظ المختلفة في الماضي.

ارتباط السوق_الإجماع الشعور

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week was around 0.5, and the consistency between different varieties fell from a high level.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

اتساع السوق_المعنويات العامة

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 42.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 16.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 20% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 35% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market maintained a downward trend.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

لخص

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fell after the interest rate meeting, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies increased after the interest rate meeting on August 1. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased slightly. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has decreased simultaneously. Bitcoins funding rate has rebounded slightly from a low level, which may reflect the gradual recovery of market participants leverage sentiment towards Bitcoin. Market breadth indicators show that most cryptocurrencies have retreated, indicating that the overall market has continued to fall in the past week.

Twitter: @ https://x.com/CTA_ChannelCmt

موقع إلكتروني: channelcmt.com

This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.26-08.02): Bitcoin Falls as Fed Keeps Steering

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